Aumake (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00005

AUK Stock   0.01  0  50.00%   
Aumake's future price is the expected price of Aumake instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aumake performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aumake Backtesting, Aumake Valuation, Aumake Correlation, Aumake Hype Analysis, Aumake Volatility, Aumake History as well as Aumake Performance.
  
Please specify Aumake's target price for which you would like Aumake odds to be computed.

Aumake Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00005

The tendency of Aumake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00005  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.00005 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aumake to drop to  0.00005  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aumake probability density function shows the probability of Aumake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aumake price to stay between  0.00005  and its current price of 0.006 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aumake has a beta of -3.54. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Aumake are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Aumake is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Aumake has an alpha of 0.9128, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aumake Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aumake

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aumake. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0111.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0111.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0001011.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.01
Details

Aumake Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aumake is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aumake's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aumake, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aumake within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.0009
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Aumake Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aumake for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aumake can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aumake is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aumake has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aumake appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aumake has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 25.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.91 K.
Aumake generates negative cash flow from operations
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AuMake Ltd. Announces Directors Major Share Acquisition - MSN

Aumake Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aumake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aumake's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aumake's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
Shares Float998.9 M

Aumake Technical Analysis

Aumake's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aumake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aumake. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aumake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aumake Predictive Forecast Models

Aumake's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aumake's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aumake's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aumake

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aumake for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aumake help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aumake is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aumake has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aumake appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aumake has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 25.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.91 K.
Aumake generates negative cash flow from operations
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AuMake Ltd. Announces Directors Major Share Acquisition - MSN

Additional Tools for Aumake Stock Analysis

When running Aumake's price analysis, check to measure Aumake's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aumake is operating at the current time. Most of Aumake's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aumake's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aumake's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aumake to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.