Auna Sa Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.7
AUNA Stock | 7.19 0.02 0.28% |
Auna |
Auna SA Target Price Odds to finish below 7.7
The tendency of Auna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 7.70 after 90 days |
7.19 | 90 days | 7.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auna SA to stay under 7.70 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Auna SA probability density function shows the probability of Auna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Auna SA price to stay between its current price of 7.19 and 7.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auna SA has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Auna SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Auna SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Auna SA has an alpha of 0.0613, implying that it can generate a 0.0613 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auna SA Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Auna SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auna SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Auna SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auna SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auna SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auna SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auna SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0072 |
Auna SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auna SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auna SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (214.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
Auna SA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Auna SA Earnings Call Transcript |
Auna SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auna SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auna SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.9 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 334.3 M |
Auna SA Technical Analysis
Auna SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auna SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auna SA Predictive Forecast Models
Auna SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auna SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auna SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Auna SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Auna SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auna SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (214.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
Auna SA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Auna SA Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Auna SA Backtesting, Auna SA Valuation, Auna SA Correlation, Auna SA Hype Analysis, Auna SA Volatility, Auna SA History as well as Auna SA Performance. For information on how to trade Auna Stock refer to our How to Trade Auna Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Auna SA. If investors know Auna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Auna SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.274 | Earnings Share (0.43) | Revenue Per Share 80.98 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.185 | Return On Assets 0.0564 |
The market value of Auna SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Auna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Auna SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Auna SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Auna SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Auna SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Auna SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Auna SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Auna SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.