Auriant Mining (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| AUR Stock | SEK 1.40 0.40 40.00% |
Auriant |
Auriant Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Auriant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 1.40 | 90 days | 0.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auriant Mining to drop to kr 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Auriant Mining AB probability density function shows the probability of Auriant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Auriant Mining AB price to stay between kr 0.05 and its current price of kr1.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Auriant Mining AB has a beta of -0.89. This suggests Additionally Auriant Mining AB has an alpha of 0.9659, implying that it can generate a 0.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auriant Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Auriant Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auriant Mining AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Auriant Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auriant Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auriant Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auriant Mining AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auriant Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Auriant Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auriant Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auriant Mining AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Auriant Mining AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Auriant Mining AB may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Auriant Mining AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Auriant Mining AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Auriant Mining AB has accumulated 44.73 M in total debt. Auriant Mining AB has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Auriant Mining until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Auriant Mining's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Auriant Mining AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Auriant to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Auriant Mining's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Auriant Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auriant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auriant Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auriant Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Auriant Mining Technical Analysis
Auriant Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auriant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auriant Mining AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auriant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auriant Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Auriant Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auriant Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auriant Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Auriant Mining AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Auriant Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auriant Mining AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Auriant Mining AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Auriant Mining AB may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Auriant Mining AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Auriant Mining AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Auriant Mining AB has accumulated 44.73 M in total debt. Auriant Mining AB has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Auriant Mining until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Auriant Mining's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Auriant Mining AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Auriant to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Auriant Mining's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Auriant Stock Analysis
When running Auriant Mining's price analysis, check to measure Auriant Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Auriant Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Auriant Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Auriant Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Auriant Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Auriant Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.