Australis Capital Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.00

AUSAF Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Australis Capital's future price is the expected price of Australis Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Australis Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Australis Capital Backtesting, Australis Capital Valuation, Australis Capital Correlation, Australis Capital Hype Analysis, Australis Capital Volatility, Australis Capital History as well as Australis Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Australis Capital's target price for which you would like Australis Capital odds to be computed.

Australis Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Australis Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.0001 90 days 0.00 
about 41.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australis Capital to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.36 (This Australis Capital probability density function shows the probability of Australis Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australis Capital price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 50.66 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Australis Capital will likely underperform. In addition to that Australis Capital has an alpha of 144.6433, implying that it can generate a 144.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Australis Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Australis Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australis Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009450.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00050.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000030.0001127.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Australis Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Australis Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Australis Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Australis Capital.

Australis Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australis Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australis Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australis Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australis Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
144.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones50.66
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Australis Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australis Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australis Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Australis Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Australis Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Australis Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Australis Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Australis Capital has accumulated 2.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Australis Capital has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Australis Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Australis Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Australis Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Australis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Australis Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 9.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.87 M.
Australis Capital has accumulated about 727.69 K in cash with (14.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 28.0% of Australis Capital shares are held by company insiders

Australis Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australis Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australis Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australis Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float221.7 M

Australis Capital Technical Analysis

Australis Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australis Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australis Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australis Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Australis Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Australis Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australis Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australis Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Australis Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Australis Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australis Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Australis Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Australis Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Australis Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Australis Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Australis Capital has accumulated 2.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Australis Capital has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Australis Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Australis Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Australis Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Australis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Australis Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 9.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.87 M.
Australis Capital has accumulated about 727.69 K in cash with (14.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 28.0% of Australis Capital shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Australis Pink Sheet

Australis Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australis Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australis with respect to the benefits of owning Australis Capital security.