Australis Capital Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.27E-4
| AUSAF Stock | USD 0.0001 0.0001 50.00% |
Australis |
Australis Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 1.27E-4
The tendency of Australis Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.0001 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.0001 | about 54.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australis Capital to move over $ 0.0001 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.53 (This Australis Capital probability density function shows the probability of Australis Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australis Capital price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0001 and $ 0.0001 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 52.16 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Australis Capital will likely underperform. In addition to that Australis Capital has an alpha of 144.7446, implying that it can generate a 144.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Australis Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australis Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australis Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australis Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australis Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australis Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australis Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australis Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 144.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 52.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Australis Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australis Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australis Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australis Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Australis Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australis Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Australis Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Australis Capital has accumulated 2.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Australis Capital has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Australis Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Australis Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Australis Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Australis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Australis Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.87 M. | |
| Australis Capital has accumulated about 727.69 K in cash with (14.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of Australis Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Acquires New Stake in Biofrontera Inc |
Australis Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australis Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australis Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australis Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 221.7 M |
Australis Capital Technical Analysis
Australis Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australis Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australis Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australis Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australis Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Australis Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australis Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australis Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australis Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australis Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australis Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australis Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Australis Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australis Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Australis Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Australis Capital has accumulated 2.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Australis Capital has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Australis Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Australis Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Australis Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Australis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Australis Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.87 M. | |
| Australis Capital has accumulated about 727.69 K in cash with (14.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of Australis Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Acquires New Stake in Biofrontera Inc |
Other Information on Investing in Australis Pink Sheet
Australis Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australis Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australis with respect to the benefits of owning Australis Capital security.