Austin Engineering Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 19.05
| AUSTF Stock | USD 0.30 0.10 25.00% |
Austin |
Austin Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 19.05
The tendency of Austin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.30 | 90 days | 19.05 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Austin Engineering to move over $ 19.05 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Austin Engineering Limited probability density function shows the probability of Austin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Austin Engineering price to stay between its current price of $ 0.30 and $ 19.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Austin Engineering has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Austin Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Austin Engineering Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Austin Engineering Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Austin Engineering Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Austin Engineering
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austin Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Austin Engineering's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Austin Engineering Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Austin Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Austin Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Austin Engineering Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Austin Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Austin Engineering Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Austin Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Austin Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Austin Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Austin Engineering has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Austin Engineering has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Austin Engineering Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Austin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Austin Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Austin Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 581.7 M |
Austin Engineering Technical Analysis
Austin Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Austin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Austin Engineering Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Austin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Austin Engineering Predictive Forecast Models
Austin Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Austin Engineering's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Austin Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Austin Engineering
Checking the ongoing alerts about Austin Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Austin Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Austin Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Austin Engineering has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Austin Engineering has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Austin Pink Sheet
Austin Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Austin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Austin with respect to the benefits of owning Austin Engineering security.