AutoWallis Nyrt (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 144.0
| AUTOW Stock | 148.00 1.00 0.67% |
AutoWallis |
AutoWallis Nyrt Target Price Odds to finish over 144.0
The tendency of AutoWallis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 144.00 in 90 days |
| 148.00 | 90 days | 144.00 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AutoWallis Nyrt to stay above 144.00 in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This AutoWallis Nyrt probability density function shows the probability of AutoWallis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AutoWallis Nyrt price to stay between 144.00 and its current price of 148.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AutoWallis Nyrt has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AutoWallis Nyrt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AutoWallis Nyrt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AutoWallis Nyrt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AutoWallis Nyrt Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AutoWallis Nyrt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AutoWallis Nyrt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AutoWallis Nyrt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AutoWallis Nyrt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AutoWallis Nyrt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AutoWallis Nyrt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AutoWallis Nyrt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AutoWallis Nyrt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
AutoWallis Nyrt Technical Analysis
AutoWallis Nyrt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AutoWallis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AutoWallis Nyrt. In general, you should focus on analyzing AutoWallis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AutoWallis Nyrt Predictive Forecast Models
AutoWallis Nyrt's time-series forecasting models is one of many AutoWallis Nyrt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AutoWallis Nyrt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AutoWallis Nyrt in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AutoWallis Nyrt's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AutoWallis Nyrt options trading.