Avidbank Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 22.61
| AVBH Stock | USD 21.85 0.05 0.23% |
Avidbank |
Avidbank Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 22.61
The tendency of Avidbank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.61 or more in 90 days |
| 21.85 | 90 days | 22.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avidbank Holdings to move over $ 22.61 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Avidbank Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Avidbank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avidbank Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 21.85 and $ 22.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Avidbank Holdings has a beta of 0.009. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avidbank Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avidbank Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avidbank Holdings has an alpha of 0.1947, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Avidbank Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Avidbank Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avidbank Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avidbank Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avidbank Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avidbank Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avidbank Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avidbank Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Avidbank Holdings Technical Analysis
Avidbank Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avidbank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avidbank Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avidbank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avidbank Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Avidbank Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Avidbank Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avidbank Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Avidbank Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Avidbank Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Avidbank Holdings options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Avidbank Pink Sheet
Avidbank Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avidbank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avidbank with respect to the benefits of owning Avidbank Holdings security.