Ave Maria Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 34.04

AVEMX Fund  USD 32.80  0.15  0.46%   
Ave Maria's future price is the expected price of Ave Maria instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ave Maria Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ave Maria Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ave Maria Correlation, Ave Maria Hype Analysis, Ave Maria Volatility, Ave Maria History as well as Ave Maria Performance.
  
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Ave Maria Target Price Odds to finish over 34.04

The tendency of Ave Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 34.04  or more in 90 days
 32.80 90 days 34.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ave Maria to move over $ 34.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ave Maria Value probability density function shows the probability of Ave Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ave Maria Value price to stay between its current price of $ 32.80  and $ 34.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ave Maria has a beta of 0.99. This suggests Ave Maria Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ave Maria is expected to follow. Additionally Ave Maria Value has an alpha of 0.1605, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ave Maria Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ave Maria

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ave Maria Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.7232.8033.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.5234.8135.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.0533.1434.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.5732.2533.93
Details

Ave Maria Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ave Maria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ave Maria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ave Maria Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ave Maria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Ave Maria Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ave Maria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ave Maria Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Ave Maria Growth Fund a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Yahoo Finance
The fund holds 96.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Ave Maria Technical Analysis

Ave Maria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ave Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ave Maria Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ave Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ave Maria Predictive Forecast Models

Ave Maria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ave Maria's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ave Maria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ave Maria Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ave Maria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ave Maria Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Ave Maria Growth Fund a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Yahoo Finance
The fund holds 96.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Ave Mutual Fund

Ave Maria financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ave Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ave with respect to the benefits of owning Ave Maria security.
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