Avantis Short Term Fixed Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.70
| AVGNX Fund | USD 9.54 0.01 0.10% |
Avantis |
Avantis Short-term Target Price Odds to finish over 9.70
The tendency of Avantis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.70 or more in 90 days |
| 9.54 | 90 days | 9.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avantis Short-term to move over $ 9.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Avantis Short Term Fixed probability density function shows the probability of Avantis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avantis Short Term price to stay between its current price of $ 9.54 and $ 9.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Avantis Short Term Fixed has a beta of -0.0365. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Avantis Short-term are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Avantis Short Term Fixed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avantis Short Term Fixed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Avantis Short-term Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avantis Short-term
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avantis Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avantis Short-term Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avantis Short-term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avantis Short-term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avantis Short Term Fixed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avantis Short-term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0025 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.81 |
Avantis Short-term Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avantis Short-term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avantis Short Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avantis Short Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 95.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Avantis Short-term Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avantis Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avantis Short-term's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avantis Short-term's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Avantis Short-term Technical Analysis
Avantis Short-term's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avantis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avantis Short Term Fixed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avantis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avantis Short-term Predictive Forecast Models
Avantis Short-term's time-series forecasting models is one of many Avantis Short-term's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avantis Short-term's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avantis Short Term
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avantis Short-term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avantis Short Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avantis Short Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 95.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Avantis Mutual Fund
Avantis Short-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avantis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avantis with respect to the benefits of owning Avantis Short-term security.
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