Avi (South Africa) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11009.0
| AVI Stock | 11,009 94.00 0.86% |
Avi |
Avi Target Price Odds to finish below 11009.0
The tendency of Avi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 11,009 | 90 days | 11,009 | about 77.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avi to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 77.54 (This Avi probability density function shows the probability of Avi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Avi has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avi has an alpha of 0.1009, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Avi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 359.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Avi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Avi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 331.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 191.4 M |
Avi Technical Analysis
Avi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avi Predictive Forecast Models
Avi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Avi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Avi Stock
Avi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avi with respect to the benefits of owning Avi security.