American Century Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 49.81

AVLV Etf  USD 71.22  0.29  0.41%   
American Century's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on American Century ETF. Implied volatility approximates the future value of American Century based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in American Century ETF over a specific time period. For example, AVLV Option Put 17-01-2025 69 is a PUT option contract on American Century's common stock with a strick price of 69.0 expiring on 2025-01-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-18 at 14:30:49 for $1.3 and, as of today, has 48 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $1.65. The implied volatility as of the 30th of November is 48.0. View All American options

Closest to current price American long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

American Century's future price is the expected price of American Century instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Century ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Century Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Century Correlation, American Century Hype Analysis, American Century Volatility, American Century History as well as American Century Performance.
  
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American Century Target Price Odds to finish below 49.81

The tendency of American Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 49.81  or more in 90 days
 71.22 90 days 49.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Century to drop to $ 49.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Century ETF probability density function shows the probability of American Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Century ETF price to stay between $ 49.81  and its current price of $71.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Century has a beta of 1.0. This suggests American Century ETF market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Century is expected to follow. Additionally American Century ETF has an alpha of 0.026, implying that it can generate a 0.026 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Century Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Century

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Century ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.4471.2272.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.1076.2777.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.4971.2772.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.2970.2372.16
Details

American Century Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Century is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Century's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Century ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Century within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

American Century Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Century for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Century ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Avantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF Reaches New 12-Month High Heres Why
The fund holds 99.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

American Century Technical Analysis

American Century's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Century ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Century Predictive Forecast Models

American Century's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Century's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Century's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Century ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Century for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Century ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Avantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF Reaches New 12-Month High Heres Why
The fund holds 99.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether American Century ETF is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Century's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Century's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out American Century Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Century Correlation, American Century Hype Analysis, American Century Volatility, American Century History as well as American Century Performance.
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The market value of American Century ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Century's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Century's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Century's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Century's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.