Arvana Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.01
| AVNI Stock | USD 0.14 0.04 22.22% |
Arvana |
Arvana Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Arvana Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arvana to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Arvana Inc probability density function shows the probability of Arvana Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arvana Inc price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arvana has a beta of 0.71. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arvana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arvana Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arvana Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arvana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arvana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arvana Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arvana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arvana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arvana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arvana Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arvana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Arvana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arvana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arvana Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arvana Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arvana Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arvana Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arvana Inc currently holds 36.42 K in liabilities. Arvana Inc has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arvana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arvana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arvana Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arvana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arvana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Arvana Inc currently holds about 13.2 K in cash with (33) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Evergreen Co. Shares Sold by Wolverine Asset Management LLC |
Arvana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arvana Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arvana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arvana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.34 |
Arvana Technical Analysis
Arvana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arvana Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arvana Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arvana Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arvana Predictive Forecast Models
Arvana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arvana's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arvana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arvana Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arvana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arvana Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arvana Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arvana Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arvana Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arvana Inc currently holds 36.42 K in liabilities. Arvana Inc has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arvana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arvana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arvana Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arvana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arvana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Arvana Inc currently holds about 13.2 K in cash with (33) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Evergreen Co. Shares Sold by Wolverine Asset Management LLC |
Other Information on Investing in Arvana Pink Sheet
Arvana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arvana Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arvana with respect to the benefits of owning Arvana security.