Avon Protection (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,207
| AVON Stock | 1,412 26.00 1.81% |
Avon |
Avon Protection Target Price Odds to finish below 1,207
The tendency of Avon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,412 | 90 days | 1,412 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avon Protection to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Avon Protection PLC probability density function shows the probability of Avon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Avon Protection PLC has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Avon Protection are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Avon Protection PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avon Protection PLC has an alpha of 0.2257, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Avon Protection Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avon Protection
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avon Protection PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avon Protection Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avon Protection is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avon Protection's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avon Protection PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avon Protection within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 59.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Avon Protection Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avon Protection for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avon Protection PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 243.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 79.8 M. | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Avon Technologies Executives Acquire Shares, Boost Investor Confidence - MSN |
Avon Protection Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avon Protection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avon Protection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
Avon Protection Technical Analysis
Avon Protection's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avon Protection PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avon Protection Predictive Forecast Models
Avon Protection's time-series forecasting models is one of many Avon Protection's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avon Protection's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avon Protection PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avon Protection for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avon Protection PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 243.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 79.8 M. | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Avon Technologies Executives Acquire Shares, Boost Investor Confidence - MSN |
Additional Tools for Avon Stock Analysis
When running Avon Protection's price analysis, check to measure Avon Protection's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avon Protection is operating at the current time. Most of Avon Protection's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avon Protection's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avon Protection's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avon Protection to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.