Avrot Industries (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.73
| AVRT Stock | ILA 46.60 0.00 0.00% |
Avrot |
Avrot Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 48.73
The tendency of Avrot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 48.73 after 90 days |
| 46.60 | 90 days | 48.73 | about 13.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avrot Industries to stay under 48.73 after 90 days from now is about 13.77 (This Avrot Industries probability density function shows the probability of Avrot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avrot Industries price to stay between its current price of 46.60 and 48.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Avrot Industries has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Avrot Industries are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Avrot Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avrot Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Avrot Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avrot Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avrot Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avrot Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avrot Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avrot Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avrot Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avrot Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.42 |
Avrot Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avrot Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avrot Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avrot Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avrot Industries has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 126.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.16 M. | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Avrot Industries Technical Analysis
Avrot Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avrot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avrot Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avrot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avrot Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Avrot Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Avrot Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avrot Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avrot Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avrot Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avrot Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avrot Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avrot Industries has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 126.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.16 M. | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Avrot Stock
Avrot Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avrot Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avrot with respect to the benefits of owning Avrot Industries security.