Avenir Telecom (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0008
| AVT Stock | EUR 0.07 0.0003 0.41% |
Avenir |
Avenir Telecom Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0008
The tendency of Avenir Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.0008 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.0008 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avenir Telecom to drop to € 0.0008 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Avenir Telecom SA probability density function shows the probability of Avenir Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avenir Telecom SA price to stay between € 0.0008 and its current price of €0.0743 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Avenir Telecom SA has a beta of -0.56. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Avenir Telecom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Avenir Telecom SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avenir Telecom SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Avenir Telecom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avenir Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avenir Telecom SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avenir Telecom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avenir Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avenir Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avenir Telecom SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avenir Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Avenir Telecom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avenir Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avenir Telecom SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avenir Telecom SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avenir Telecom SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 43.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (767 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.29 M. | |
| Avenir Telecom SA has accumulated about 24.89 M in cash with (7.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Avenir Telecom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avenir Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avenir Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avenir Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.9 M |
Avenir Telecom Technical Analysis
Avenir Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avenir Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avenir Telecom SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avenir Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avenir Telecom Predictive Forecast Models
Avenir Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Avenir Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avenir Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avenir Telecom SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avenir Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avenir Telecom SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avenir Telecom SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avenir Telecom SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 43.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (767 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.29 M. | |
| Avenir Telecom SA has accumulated about 24.89 M in cash with (7.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Avenir Stock
Avenir Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avenir Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avenir with respect to the benefits of owning Avenir Telecom security.