At Mid Cap Fund Chance of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 21.39

AWMIX Fund  USD 22.28  0.09  0.41%   
At Mid's future price is the expected price of At Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of At Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out At Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, At Mid Correlation, At Mid Hype Analysis, At Mid Volatility, At Mid History as well as At Mid Performance.
  
Please specify At Mid's target price for which you would like At Mid odds to be computed.

At Mid Target Price Odds to finish below 21.39

The tendency of AWMIX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.39  or more in 90 days
 22.28 90 days 21.39 
about 80.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of At Mid to drop to $ 21.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 80.04 (This At Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of AWMIX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of At Mid Cap price to stay between $ 21.39  and its current price of $22.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This suggests At Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, At Mid is expected to follow. Additionally At Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.03, implying that it can generate a 0.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   At Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for At Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as At Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4222.2823.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0521.9122.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6522.5023.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0721.9222.78
Details

At Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. At Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the At Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold At Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of At Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

At Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of At Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for At Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.85% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

At Mid Technical Analysis

At Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AWMIX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of At Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing AWMIX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

At Mid Predictive Forecast Models

At Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many At Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary At Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about At Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about At Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for At Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.85% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in AWMIX Mutual Fund

At Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether AWMIX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AWMIX with respect to the benefits of owning At Mid security.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.