Air Water Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 12.02

AWTRFDelisted Stock  USD 12.02  0.00  0.00%   
Air Water's future price is the expected price of Air Water instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Air Water performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Please specify Air Water's target price for which you would like Air Water odds to be computed.

Air Water Target Price Odds to finish below 12.02

The tendency of Air Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 12.02 90 days 12.02 
about 17.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air Water to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.91 (This Air Water probability density function shows the probability of Air Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Air Water has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Air Water are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Air Water is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Air Water has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Air Water Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air Water

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Water. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0212.0212.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4610.4613.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7411.7411.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0212.0212.02
Details

Air Water Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air Water is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air Water's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air Water, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air Water within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Air Water Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air Water for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air Water can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Water is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Air Water generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air Water has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Air Water Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Air Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Air Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding226.5 M

Air Water Technical Analysis

Air Water's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Air Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Air Water. In general, you should focus on analyzing Air Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Air Water Predictive Forecast Models

Air Water's time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Water's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Air Water's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Air Water

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air Water for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Air Water help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Air Water is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Air Water generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air Water has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Air Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Air Water check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Air Water's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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