Axis Bank (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.23
| AXB Stock | 67.40 0.20 0.30% |
Axis |
Axis Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 66.23
The tendency of Axis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 66.23 or more in 90 days |
| 67.40 | 90 days | 66.23 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axis Bank to drop to 66.23 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Axis Bank Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Axis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axis Bank price to stay between 66.23 and its current price of 67.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Axis Bank has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Axis Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Axis Bank Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Axis Bank Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Axis Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axis Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axis Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axis Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axis Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axis Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axis Bank Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axis Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Axis Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axis Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axis Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axis Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Axis Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Axis Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Axis, KIMS among HSBCs 12 actionable stock ideas in Asia - The Economic Times |
Axis Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axis Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axis Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 620.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 T |
Axis Bank Technical Analysis
Axis Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axis Bank Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axis Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Axis Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axis Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axis Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axis Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axis Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axis Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axis Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Axis Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Axis Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Axis, KIMS among HSBCs 12 actionable stock ideas in Asia - The Economic Times |
Other Information on Investing in Axis Stock
Axis Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Axis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Axis with respect to the benefits of owning Axis Bank security.