Tera Data (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 122.00

AXIO Stock   122.00  2.00  1.61%   
Tera Data's future price is the expected price of Tera Data instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tera Data Indonusa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tera Data Backtesting, Tera Data Valuation, Tera Data Correlation, Tera Data Hype Analysis, Tera Data Volatility, Tera Data History as well as Tera Data Performance.
  
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Tera Data Target Price Odds to finish over 122.00

The tendency of Tera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 122.00 90 days 122.00 
about 47.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tera Data to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.16 (This Tera Data Indonusa probability density function shows the probability of Tera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tera Data has a beta of 0.0888. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tera Data average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tera Data Indonusa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tera Data Indonusa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tera Data Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tera Data

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tera Data Indonusa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.04122.00123.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.31103.27134.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
116.56118.52120.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
119.10121.30123.50
Details

Tera Data Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tera Data is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tera Data's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tera Data Indonusa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tera Data within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
7.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Tera Data Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tera Data for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tera Data Indonusa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tera Data Indonusa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Tera Data Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tera Data's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tera Data's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares FloatB

Tera Data Technical Analysis

Tera Data's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tera Data Indonusa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tera Data Predictive Forecast Models

Tera Data's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tera Data's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tera Data's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tera Data Indonusa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tera Data for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tera Data Indonusa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tera Data Indonusa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tera Stock

Tera Data financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tera with respect to the benefits of owning Tera Data security.