Equitable Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.62

AXJ Stock  EUR 44.80  0.20  0.44%   
Equitable Holdings' future price is the expected price of Equitable Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equitable Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Equitable Holdings Backtesting, Equitable Holdings Valuation, Equitable Holdings Correlation, Equitable Holdings Hype Analysis, Equitable Holdings Volatility, Equitable Holdings History as well as Equitable Holdings Performance.
  
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Equitable Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 41.62

The tendency of Equitable Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 41.62  or more in 90 days
 44.80 90 days 41.62 
about 69.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equitable Holdings to drop to € 41.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.57 (This Equitable Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Equitable Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equitable Holdings price to stay between € 41.62  and its current price of €44.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Equitable Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Equitable Holdings has an alpha of 0.0499, implying that it can generate a 0.0499 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Equitable Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Equitable Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equitable Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.8244.8046.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.3252.8654.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.2245.2047.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.7344.4846.24
Details

Equitable Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equitable Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equitable Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equitable Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equitable Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.89
σ
Overall volatility
3.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Equitable Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equitable Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equitable Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equitable Holdings has accumulated about 6.8 B in cash with (851 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.49.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Equitable Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equitable Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equitable Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equitable Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding365.1 M

Equitable Holdings Technical Analysis

Equitable Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equitable Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equitable Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equitable Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equitable Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Equitable Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Equitable Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equitable Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equitable Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equitable Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equitable Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equitable Holdings has accumulated about 6.8 B in cash with (851 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.49.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Equitable Stock

Equitable Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Equitable Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Equitable with respect to the benefits of owning Equitable Holdings security.