Arrow Exploration Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.41
| AXL Stock | CAD 0.41 0.01 2.38% |
Arrow |
Arrow Exploration Target Price Odds to finish over 0.41
The tendency of Arrow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.41 | 90 days | 0.41 | about 92.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrow Exploration to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.97 (This Arrow Exploration Corp probability density function shows the probability of Arrow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arrow Exploration Corp has a beta of -0.0633. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Arrow Exploration are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Arrow Exploration Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Arrow Exploration Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arrow Exploration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arrow Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrow Exploration Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arrow Exploration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrow Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrow Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrow Exploration Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrow Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Arrow Exploration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrow Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrow Exploration Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arrow Exploration generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arrow Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arrow Exploration has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arrow Exploration Corp has accumulated 20.77 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 10.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arrow Exploration Corp has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Arrow Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arrow Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arrow Exploration Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arrow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arrow Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 50.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.17 M. | |
| About 26.0% of Arrow Exploration shares are held by company insiders |
Arrow Exploration Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrow Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrow Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 285.9 M |
Arrow Exploration Technical Analysis
Arrow Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arrow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arrow Exploration Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arrow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arrow Exploration Predictive Forecast Models
Arrow Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arrow Exploration's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arrow Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arrow Exploration Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrow Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrow Exploration Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arrow Exploration generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arrow Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arrow Exploration has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arrow Exploration Corp has accumulated 20.77 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 10.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arrow Exploration Corp has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Arrow Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arrow Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arrow Exploration Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arrow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arrow Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 50.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.17 M. | |
| About 26.0% of Arrow Exploration shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Arrow Stock Analysis
When running Arrow Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Arrow Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrow Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Arrow Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrow Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrow Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrow Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.