American Express (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21,366
| AXP Stock | ARS 22,300 175.00 0.78% |
American |
American Express Target Price Odds to finish below 21,366
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 22,300 | 90 days | 22,300 | about 81.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Express to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 81.28 (This American Express Co probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Express has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Express average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Express Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Express Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. American Express Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Express
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Express Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Express Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0082 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 559.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
American Express Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Express for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Express can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Express has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
American Express Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 743 M |
American Express Technical Analysis
American Express' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Express Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Express Predictive Forecast Models
American Express' time-series forecasting models is one of many American Express' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Express' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Express
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Express help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Express has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Other Information on Investing in American Stock
American Express financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Express security.