Axtel SAB (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| AXTELCPO | MXN 1.15 0.01 0.88% |
Axtel |
Axtel SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Axtel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 1.15 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axtel SAB to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Axtel SAB de probability density function shows the probability of Axtel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axtel SAB de price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 1.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Axtel SAB de has a beta of -0.72. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Axtel SAB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Axtel SAB de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Axtel SAB de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Axtel SAB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axtel SAB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axtel SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axtel SAB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axtel SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axtel SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axtel SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axtel SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Axtel SAB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axtel SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axtel SAB de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axtel SAB de may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Axtel SAB de had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Axtel SAB de has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 11.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (796.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.11 B. |
Axtel SAB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axtel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axtel SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axtel SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.7 B |
Axtel SAB Technical Analysis
Axtel SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axtel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axtel SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axtel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axtel SAB Predictive Forecast Models
Axtel SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axtel SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axtel SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axtel SAB de
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axtel SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axtel SAB de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axtel SAB de may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Axtel SAB de had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Axtel SAB de has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 11.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (796.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.11 B. |
Additional Tools for Axtel Stock Analysis
When running Axtel SAB's price analysis, check to measure Axtel SAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axtel SAB is operating at the current time. Most of Axtel SAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axtel SAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axtel SAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axtel SAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.