PT Janu (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 101.77
| AYAM Stock | 149.00 1.00 0.68% |
AYAM |
PT Janu Target Price Odds to finish below 101.77
The tendency of AYAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 101.77 or more in 90 days |
| 149.00 | 90 days | 101.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Janu to drop to 101.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PT Janu Putra probability density function shows the probability of AYAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Janu Putra price to stay between 101.77 and its current price of 149.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Janu has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, PT Janu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Janu Putra will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Janu Putra has an alpha of 0.2738, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Janu Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for PT Janu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Janu Putra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Janu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Janu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Janu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Janu Putra, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Janu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
PT Janu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Janu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Janu Putra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Janu Putra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
PT Janu Technical Analysis
PT Janu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AYAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Janu Putra. In general, you should focus on analyzing AYAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Janu Predictive Forecast Models
PT Janu's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Janu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Janu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Janu Putra
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Janu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Janu Putra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Janu Putra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |