Ayes Celik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.56
| AYES Stock | TRY 8.59 0.27 3.05% |
Ayes |
Ayes Celik Target Price Odds to finish over 3.56
The tendency of Ayes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3.56 in 90 days |
| 8.59 | 90 days | 3.56 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ayes Celik to stay above 3.56 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ayes Celik Hasir probability density function shows the probability of Ayes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ayes Celik Hasir price to stay between 3.56 and its current price of 8.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ayes Celik Hasir has a beta of -0.67. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ayes Celik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ayes Celik Hasir is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ayes Celik Hasir has an alpha of 0.2312, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ayes Celik Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ayes Celik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ayes Celik Hasir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ayes Celik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ayes Celik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ayes Celik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ayes Celik Hasir, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ayes Celik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Ayes Celik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ayes Celik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ayes Celik Hasir can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ayes Celik Hasir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ayes Celik Hasir has accumulated about 25.4 M in cash with (55.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.69. |
Ayes Celik Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ayes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ayes Celik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ayes Celik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 M |
Ayes Celik Technical Analysis
Ayes Celik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ayes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ayes Celik Hasir. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ayes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ayes Celik Predictive Forecast Models
Ayes Celik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ayes Celik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ayes Celik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ayes Celik Hasir
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ayes Celik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ayes Celik Hasir help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ayes Celik Hasir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ayes Celik Hasir has accumulated about 25.4 M in cash with (55.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.69. |
Additional Tools for Ayes Stock Analysis
When running Ayes Celik's price analysis, check to measure Ayes Celik's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ayes Celik is operating at the current time. Most of Ayes Celik's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ayes Celik's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ayes Celik's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ayes Celik to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.