Allianz Ayudhya (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.29
| AYUD Stock | THB 31.75 0.25 0.79% |
Allianz |
Allianz Ayudhya Target Price Odds to finish below 30.29
The tendency of Allianz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 30.29 or more in 90 days |
| 31.75 | 90 days | 30.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allianz Ayudhya to drop to 30.29 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allianz Ayudhya Capital probability density function shows the probability of Allianz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allianz Ayudhya Capital price to stay between 30.29 and its current price of 31.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allianz Ayudhya has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allianz Ayudhya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allianz Ayudhya Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allianz Ayudhya Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Allianz Ayudhya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allianz Ayudhya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allianz Ayudhya Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allianz Ayudhya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allianz Ayudhya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allianz Ayudhya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allianz Ayudhya Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allianz Ayudhya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Allianz Ayudhya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allianz Ayudhya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allianz Ayudhya Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allianz Ayudhya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allianz Ayudhya Capital has accumulated 204.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Allianz Ayudhya Capital has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Allianz Ayudhya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allianz Ayudhya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allianz Ayudhya Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allianz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allianz Ayudhya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Allianz Ayudhya Capital has accumulated about 2.02 B in cash with (808.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.18. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of Allianz Ayudhya shares are held by company insiders |
Allianz Ayudhya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allianz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allianz Ayudhya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allianz Ayudhya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 389.3 M |
Allianz Ayudhya Technical Analysis
Allianz Ayudhya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allianz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allianz Ayudhya Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allianz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allianz Ayudhya Predictive Forecast Models
Allianz Ayudhya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allianz Ayudhya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allianz Ayudhya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allianz Ayudhya Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allianz Ayudhya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allianz Ayudhya Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Allianz Ayudhya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allianz Ayudhya Capital has accumulated 204.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Allianz Ayudhya Capital has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Allianz Ayudhya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allianz Ayudhya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allianz Ayudhya Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allianz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allianz Ayudhya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Allianz Ayudhya Capital has accumulated about 2.02 B in cash with (808.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.18. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of Allianz Ayudhya shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Allianz Stock
Allianz Ayudhya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianz with respect to the benefits of owning Allianz Ayudhya security.