Australian Unity (Australia) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 82.5

AYUPA Preferred Stock   82.65  0.24  0.29%   
Australian Unity's future price is the expected price of Australian Unity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Australian Unity Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Australian Unity Backtesting, Australian Unity Valuation, Australian Unity Correlation, Australian Unity Hype Analysis, Australian Unity Volatility, Australian Unity History as well as Australian Unity Performance.
  
Please specify Australian Unity's target price for which you would like Australian Unity odds to be computed.

Australian Unity Target Price Odds to finish over 82.5

The tendency of Australian Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  82.50  in 90 days
 82.65 90 days 82.50 
about 51.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Unity to stay above  82.50  in 90 days from now is about 51.06 (This Australian Unity Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Australian Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Unity price to stay between  82.50  and its current price of 82.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Australian Unity Ltd has a beta of -0.0536. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Australian Unity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Australian Unity Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Australian Unity Ltd has an alpha of 0.051, implying that it can generate a 0.051 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Australian Unity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Australian Unity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Unity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.8382.4182.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.1180.6990.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.0982.6783.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
81.8582.6483.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Australian Unity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Australian Unity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Australian Unity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Australian Unity.

Australian Unity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Unity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Unity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Unity Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Unity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Australian Unity Technical Analysis

Australian Unity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Unity Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Australian Unity Predictive Forecast Models

Australian Unity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Unity's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Unity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Australian Unity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Australian Unity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Australian Unity options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Australian Preferred Stock

Australian Unity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australian Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australian with respect to the benefits of owning Australian Unity security.