Banco Santander (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 53.68

B1SA34 Stock  BRL 58.32  0.36  0.61%   
Banco Santander's future price is the expected price of Banco Santander instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco Santander Chile performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco Santander Backtesting, Banco Santander Valuation, Banco Santander Correlation, Banco Santander Hype Analysis, Banco Santander Volatility, Banco Santander History as well as Banco Santander Performance.
  
Please specify Banco Santander's target price for which you would like Banco Santander odds to be computed.

Banco Santander Target Price Odds to finish over 53.68

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above R$ 53.68  in 90 days
 58.32 90 days 53.68 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Santander to stay above R$ 53.68  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Banco Santander Chile probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Santander Chile price to stay between R$ 53.68  and its current price of R$58.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco Santander Chile has a beta of -0.14 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Banco Santander are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Banco Santander Chile is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Banco Santander Chile has an alpha of 0.1012, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Banco Santander Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco Santander

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Santander Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.2558.6860.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.9848.4164.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.5460.9762.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.4457.1559.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Santander. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Santander's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Santander's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Santander Chile.

Banco Santander Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Santander is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Santander's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Santander Chile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Santander within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Banco Santander Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Santander for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Santander Chile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Santander generates negative cash flow from operations

Banco Santander Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Santander's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Santander's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding188.4 B

Banco Santander Technical Analysis

Banco Santander's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Santander Chile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco Santander Predictive Forecast Models

Banco Santander's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Santander's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Santander's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco Santander Chile

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Santander for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Santander Chile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Santander generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Banco Stock

When determining whether Banco Santander Chile offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Santander's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Santander Chile Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Santander Chile Stock:
Check out Banco Santander Backtesting, Banco Santander Valuation, Banco Santander Correlation, Banco Santander Hype Analysis, Banco Santander Volatility, Banco Santander History as well as Banco Santander Performance.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Santander's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Santander is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Santander's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.