INVESCO MARKETS (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 541.41
| B26G Etf | 542.90 0.35 0.06% |
INVESCO |
INVESCO MARKETS Target Price Odds to finish over 541.41
The tendency of INVESCO Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 541.41 in 90 days |
| 542.90 | 90 days | 541.41 | about 29.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INVESCO MARKETS to stay above 541.41 in 90 days from now is about 29.03 (This INVESCO MARKETS II probability density function shows the probability of INVESCO Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INVESCO MARKETS II price to stay between 541.41 and its current price of 542.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INVESCO MARKETS II has a beta of -0.0025 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INVESCO MARKETS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INVESCO MARKETS II is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INVESCO MARKETS II has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. INVESCO MARKETS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INVESCO MARKETS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INVESCO MARKETS II. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INVESCO MARKETS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INVESCO MARKETS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INVESCO MARKETS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INVESCO MARKETS II, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INVESCO MARKETS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0025 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.9 |
INVESCO MARKETS Technical Analysis
INVESCO MARKETS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INVESCO Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INVESCO MARKETS II. In general, you should focus on analyzing INVESCO Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INVESCO MARKETS Predictive Forecast Models
INVESCO MARKETS's time-series forecasting models is one of many INVESCO MARKETS's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INVESCO MARKETS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards INVESCO MARKETS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, INVESCO MARKETS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from INVESCO MARKETS options trading.