B3 SA (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.57

B3SA3 Stock   9.26  0.11  1.20%   
B3 SA's future price is the expected price of B3 SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of B3 SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out B3 SA Backtesting, B3 SA Valuation, B3 SA Correlation, B3 SA Hype Analysis, B3 SA Volatility, B3 SA History as well as B3 SA Performance.
  
Please specify B3 SA's target price for which you would like B3 SA odds to be computed.

B3 SA Target Price Odds to finish over 16.57

The tendency of B3SA3 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  16.57  or more in 90 days
 9.26 90 days 16.57 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of B3 SA to move over  16.57  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This B3 SA probability density function shows the probability of B3SA3 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of B3 SA price to stay between its current price of  9.26  and  16.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon B3 SA has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, B3 SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding B3 SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally B3 SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   B3 SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for B3 SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as B3 SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.369.2611.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.768.6610.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.439.3411.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.029.7610.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as B3 SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against B3 SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, B3 SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in B3 SA.

B3 SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. B3 SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the B3 SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold B3 SA , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of B3 SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

B3 SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of B3 SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for B3 SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
B3 SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

B3 SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of B3SA3 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential B3 SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. B3 SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments16.9 B

B3 SA Technical Analysis

B3 SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. B3SA3 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of B3 SA . In general, you should focus on analyzing B3SA3 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

B3 SA Predictive Forecast Models

B3 SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many B3 SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary B3 SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about B3 SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about B3 SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for B3 SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
B3 SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for B3SA3 Stock Analysis

When running B3 SA's price analysis, check to measure B3 SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy B3 SA is operating at the current time. Most of B3 SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of B3 SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move B3 SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of B3 SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.