Citic Telecom (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.28
| B7O Stock | 0.26 0.01 3.70% |
Citic |
Citic Telecom Target Price Odds to finish below 0.28
The tendency of Citic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.28 after 90 days |
| 0.26 | 90 days | 0.28 | about 92.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citic Telecom to stay under 0.28 after 90 days from now is about 92.87 (This Citic Telecom International probability density function shows the probability of Citic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citic Telecom Intern price to stay between its current price of 0.26 and 0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Citic Telecom has a beta of 0.044 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citic Telecom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citic Telecom International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citic Telecom International has an alpha of 0.554, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Citic Telecom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Citic Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citic Telecom Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citic Telecom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citic Telecom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citic Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citic Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citic Telecom International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citic Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Citic Telecom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Citic Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Citic Telecom Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Citic Telecom Intern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Citic Telecom Intern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Citic Telecom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citic Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citic Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7752 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 500 M |
Citic Telecom Technical Analysis
Citic Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citic Telecom International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citic Telecom Predictive Forecast Models
Citic Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citic Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citic Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Citic Telecom Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Citic Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Citic Telecom Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Citic Telecom Intern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Citic Telecom Intern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Citic Stock Analysis
When running Citic Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Citic Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citic Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Citic Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citic Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citic Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citic Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.