Brookdale Senior (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.61
| B7S Stock | EUR 5.30 0.05 0.95% |
Brookdale |
Brookdale Senior Target Price Odds to finish below 1.61
The tendency of Brookdale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.61 or more in 90 days |
| 5.30 | 90 days | 1.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookdale Senior to drop to € 1.61 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brookdale Senior Living probability density function shows the probability of Brookdale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brookdale Senior Living price to stay between € 1.61 and its current price of €5.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brookdale Senior has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brookdale Senior average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brookdale Senior Living will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brookdale Senior Living has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brookdale Senior Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brookdale Senior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookdale Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brookdale Senior Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookdale Senior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookdale Senior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookdale Senior Living, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookdale Senior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Brookdale Senior Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookdale Senior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookdale Senior Living can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brookdale Senior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brookdale Senior has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Brookdale Senior Living has accumulated 3.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.75, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Brookdale Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brookdale Senior until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brookdale Senior's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brookdale Senior Living sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brookdale to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brookdale Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (238.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 685 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of Brookdale Senior shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Brookdale Senior Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookdale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookdale Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookdale Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 187.2 M |
Brookdale Senior Technical Analysis
Brookdale Senior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookdale Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookdale Senior Living. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookdale Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brookdale Senior Predictive Forecast Models
Brookdale Senior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookdale Senior's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookdale Senior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brookdale Senior Living
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookdale Senior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookdale Senior Living help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brookdale Senior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brookdale Senior has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Brookdale Senior Living has accumulated 3.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.75, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Brookdale Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brookdale Senior until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brookdale Senior's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brookdale Senior Living sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brookdale to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brookdale Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (238.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 685 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of Brookdale Senior shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Brookdale Stock
When determining whether Brookdale Senior Living is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Brookdale Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Brookdale Senior Living Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Brookdale Senior Living Stock:Check out Brookdale Senior Backtesting, Brookdale Senior Valuation, Brookdale Senior Correlation, Brookdale Senior Hype Analysis, Brookdale Senior Volatility, Brookdale Senior History as well as Brookdale Senior Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.