Balfour Beatty PLC Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.31
| BAFYYDelisted Stock | USD 10.22 0.00 0.00% |
Balfour |
Balfour Beatty Target Price Odds to finish below 9.31
The tendency of Balfour Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.31 or more in 90 days |
| 10.22 | 90 days | 9.31 | about 34.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Balfour Beatty to drop to $ 9.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.61 (This Balfour Beatty PLC probability density function shows the probability of Balfour Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Balfour Beatty PLC price to stay between $ 9.31 and its current price of $10.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Balfour Beatty PLC has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Balfour Beatty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Balfour Beatty PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Balfour Beatty PLC has an alpha of 0.269, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Balfour Beatty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Balfour Beatty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Balfour Beatty PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Balfour Beatty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Balfour Beatty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Balfour Beatty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Balfour Beatty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Balfour Beatty PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Balfour Beatty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Balfour Beatty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Balfour Beatty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Balfour Beatty PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Balfour Beatty PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Balfour Beatty PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Balfour Beatty PLC has accumulated 447 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Balfour Beatty PLC has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Balfour Beatty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Balfour Beatty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Balfour Beatty PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Balfour to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Balfour Beatty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Balfour Beatty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Balfour Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Balfour Beatty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Balfour Beatty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 657.4 M |
Balfour Beatty Technical Analysis
Balfour Beatty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Balfour Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Balfour Beatty PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Balfour Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Balfour Beatty Predictive Forecast Models
Balfour Beatty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Balfour Beatty's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Balfour Beatty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Balfour Beatty PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Balfour Beatty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Balfour Beatty PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Balfour Beatty PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Balfour Beatty PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Balfour Beatty PLC has accumulated 447 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Balfour Beatty PLC has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Balfour Beatty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Balfour Beatty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Balfour Beatty PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Balfour to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Balfour Beatty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Other Consideration for investing in Balfour Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Balfour Beatty PLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Balfour Beatty's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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