Bahema Educao (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.57
| BAHI3 Stock | BRL 4.51 0.20 4.64% |
Bahema |
Bahema Educao Target Price Odds to finish below 8.57
The tendency of Bahema Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 8.57 after 90 days |
| 4.51 | 90 days | 8.57 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bahema Educao to stay under R$ 8.57 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bahema Educao SA probability density function shows the probability of Bahema Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bahema Educao SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 4.51 and R$ 8.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bahema Educao SA has a beta of -0.84 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bahema Educao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bahema Educao SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bahema Educao SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bahema Educao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bahema Educao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bahema Educao SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bahema Educao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bahema Educao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bahema Educao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bahema Educao SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bahema Educao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bahema Educao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bahema Educao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bahema Educao SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bahema Educao SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bahema Educao SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bahema Educao SA has accumulated 149.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 30.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bahema Educao SA has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bahema Educao until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bahema Educao's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bahema Educao SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bahema to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bahema Educao's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 266.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.01 M. | |
| About 57.0% of Bahema Educao shares are held by company insiders |
Bahema Educao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bahema Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bahema Educao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bahema Educao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.5 M |
Bahema Educao Technical Analysis
Bahema Educao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bahema Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bahema Educao SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bahema Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bahema Educao Predictive Forecast Models
Bahema Educao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bahema Educao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bahema Educao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bahema Educao SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bahema Educao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bahema Educao SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bahema Educao SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bahema Educao SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bahema Educao SA has accumulated 149.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 30.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bahema Educao SA has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bahema Educao until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bahema Educao's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bahema Educao SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bahema to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bahema Educao's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 266.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.01 M. | |
| About 57.0% of Bahema Educao shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Bahema Stock Analysis
When running Bahema Educao's price analysis, check to measure Bahema Educao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bahema Educao is operating at the current time. Most of Bahema Educao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bahema Educao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bahema Educao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bahema Educao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.