Bank Al (Pakistan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.45
| BAHL Stock | 116.20 10.20 9.62% |
Bank |
Bank Al Target Price Odds to finish below 117.45
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 117.45 after 90 days |
| 116.20 | 90 days | 117.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Al to stay under 117.45 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bank Al Habib probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Al Habib price to stay between its current price of 116.20 and 117.45 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Al has a beta of 0.0226 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank Al average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Al Habib will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Al Habib has an alpha of 0.1491, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bank Al Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Al
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Al Habib. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Al Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Al is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Al's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Al Habib, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Al within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Bank Al Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Al's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Al's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 4.9 B |
Bank Al Technical Analysis
Bank Al's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Al Habib. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Al Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Al's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Al's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Al's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank Al in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank Al's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank Al options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Al financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Al security.