Bains Mer (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 103.81
| BAIN Stock | EUR 106.50 1.50 1.43% |
Bains |
Bains Mer Target Price Odds to finish below 103.81
The tendency of Bains Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 103.81 or more in 90 days |
| 106.50 | 90 days | 103.81 | about 7.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bains Mer to drop to € 103.81 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.12 (This Bains Mer Monaco probability density function shows the probability of Bains Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bains Mer Monaco price to stay between € 103.81 and its current price of €106.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bains Mer has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bains Mer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bains Mer Monaco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bains Mer Monaco has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bains Mer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bains Mer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bains Mer Monaco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bains Mer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bains Mer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bains Mer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bains Mer Monaco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bains Mer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bains Mer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bains Mer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bains Mer Monaco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bains Mer Monaco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bains Mer Monaco has accumulated 89.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bains Mer Monaco has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bains Mer until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bains Mer's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bains Mer Monaco sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bains to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bains Mer's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 79.0% of Bains Mer shares are held by company insiders |
Bains Mer Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bains Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bains Mer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bains Mer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 208.3 M |
Bains Mer Technical Analysis
Bains Mer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bains Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bains Mer Monaco. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bains Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bains Mer Predictive Forecast Models
Bains Mer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bains Mer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bains Mer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bains Mer Monaco
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bains Mer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bains Mer Monaco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bains Mer Monaco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bains Mer Monaco has accumulated 89.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bains Mer Monaco has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bains Mer until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bains Mer's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bains Mer Monaco sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bains to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bains Mer's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 79.0% of Bains Mer shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bains Stock
Bains Mer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bains Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bains with respect to the benefits of owning Bains Mer security.