Bankinter (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.83
| BAKA Stock | EUR 7.61 0.03 0.40% |
Bankinter |
Bankinter Target Price Odds to finish below 5.83
The tendency of Bankinter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 5.83 or more in 90 days |
| 7.61 | 90 days | 5.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bankinter to drop to € 5.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bankinter SA probability density function shows the probability of Bankinter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bankinter SA price to stay between € 5.83 and its current price of €7.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bankinter has a beta of 0.0021 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bankinter average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bankinter SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bankinter SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bankinter Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bankinter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankinter SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bankinter Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bankinter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bankinter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bankinter SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bankinter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Bankinter Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bankinter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bankinter SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bankinter SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bankinter generates negative cash flow from operations |
Bankinter Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bankinter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bankinter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bankinter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 898.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 252.5 M |
Bankinter Technical Analysis
Bankinter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bankinter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bankinter SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bankinter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bankinter Predictive Forecast Models
Bankinter's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bankinter's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bankinter's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bankinter SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bankinter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bankinter SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bankinter SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bankinter generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Bankinter Stock Analysis
When running Bankinter's price analysis, check to measure Bankinter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bankinter is operating at the current time. Most of Bankinter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bankinter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bankinter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bankinter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.