Balai Ni (Philippines) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.31

BALAI Stock   0.36  0.01  2.86%   
Balai Ni's future price is the expected price of Balai Ni instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Balai Ni Fruitas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Balai Ni Backtesting, Balai Ni Valuation, Balai Ni Correlation, Balai Ni Hype Analysis, Balai Ni Volatility, Balai Ni History as well as Balai Ni Performance.
  
Please specify Balai Ni's target price for which you would like Balai Ni odds to be computed.

Balai Ni Target Price Odds to finish over 0.31

The tendency of Balai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.31  in 90 days
 0.36 90 days 0.31 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Balai Ni to stay above  0.31  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Balai Ni Fruitas probability density function shows the probability of Balai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Balai Ni Fruitas price to stay between  0.31  and its current price of 0.36 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Balai Ni Fruitas has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Balai Ni are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Balai Ni Fruitas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Balai Ni Fruitas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Balai Ni Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Balai Ni

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Balai Ni Fruitas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.363.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.313.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.363.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.350.370.40
Details

Balai Ni Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Balai Ni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Balai Ni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Balai Ni Fruitas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Balai Ni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0039
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Balai Ni Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Balai Ni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Balai Ni Fruitas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Balai Ni Fruitas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Balai Ni Fruitas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Balai Ni Fruitas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Balai Ni Fruitas has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Balai Ni Technical Analysis

Balai Ni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Balai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Balai Ni Fruitas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Balai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Balai Ni Predictive Forecast Models

Balai Ni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Balai Ni's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Balai Ni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Balai Ni Fruitas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Balai Ni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Balai Ni Fruitas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Balai Ni Fruitas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Balai Ni Fruitas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Balai Ni Fruitas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Balai Ni Fruitas has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Additional Tools for Balai Stock Analysis

When running Balai Ni's price analysis, check to measure Balai Ni's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Balai Ni is operating at the current time. Most of Balai Ni's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Balai Ni's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Balai Ni's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Balai Ni to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.