Banc Of California Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.72

BANC-PF Stock   25.00  0.35  1.42%   
Banc Of's future price is the expected price of Banc Of instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banc of California performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banc Of Backtesting, Banc Of Valuation, Banc Of Correlation, Banc Of Hype Analysis, Banc Of Volatility, Banc Of History as well as Banc Of Performance.
  
The Banc Of's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.0006, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 6.68. Please specify Banc Of's target price for which you would like Banc Of odds to be computed.

Banc Of Target Price Odds to finish below 23.72

The tendency of Banc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  23.72  or more in 90 days
 25.00 90 days 23.72 
about 35.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banc Of to drop to  23.72  or more in 90 days from now is about 35.49 (This Banc of California probability density function shows the probability of Banc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banc of California price to stay between  23.72  and its current price of 25.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banc Of has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Banc Of average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Banc of California will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Banc of California has an alpha of 0.0605, implying that it can generate a 0.0605 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Banc Of Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banc Of

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banc of California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3625.0025.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8824.5225.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5125.1525.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9724.4724.97
Details

Banc Of Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banc Of is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banc Of's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banc of California, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banc Of within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Banc Of Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banc Of for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banc of California can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banc of California has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 278.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.9 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Banc Of Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banc Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banc Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 B

Banc Of Technical Analysis

Banc Of's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banc of California. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banc Of Predictive Forecast Models

Banc Of's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banc Of's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banc Of's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banc of California

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banc Of for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banc of California help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banc of California has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 278.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.9 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Other Information on Investing in Banc Stock

Banc Of financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banc with respect to the benefits of owning Banc Of security.