Baosheng Media Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| BAOS Stock | USD 1.88 0.08 4.08% |
Baosheng |
Baosheng Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Baosheng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 1.88 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baosheng Media to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baosheng Media Group probability density function shows the probability of Baosheng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baosheng Media Group price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $1.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Baosheng Media Group has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baosheng Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baosheng Media Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baosheng Media Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baosheng Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baosheng Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baosheng Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baosheng Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baosheng Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baosheng Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baosheng Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baosheng Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Baosheng Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baosheng Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baosheng Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baosheng Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baosheng Media Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Baosheng Media Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Baosheng Media Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 921.83 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 M. | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: BAOS Stock Surges 6.12 percent Amidst Industry Movement |
Baosheng Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baosheng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baosheng Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baosheng Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
Baosheng Media Technical Analysis
Baosheng Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baosheng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baosheng Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baosheng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baosheng Media Predictive Forecast Models
Baosheng Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baosheng Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baosheng Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baosheng Media Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baosheng Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baosheng Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baosheng Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baosheng Media Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Baosheng Media Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Baosheng Media Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 921.83 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 M. | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: BAOS Stock Surges 6.12 percent Amidst Industry Movement |
Additional Tools for Baosheng Stock Analysis
When running Baosheng Media's price analysis, check to measure Baosheng Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baosheng Media is operating at the current time. Most of Baosheng Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baosheng Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baosheng Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baosheng Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.