Bhakti Agung (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.15
| BAPI Stock | IDR 10.00 1.00 11.11% |
Bhakti |
Bhakti Agung Target Price Odds to finish over 12.15
The tendency of Bhakti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 12.15 or more in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 12.15 | about 70.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bhakti Agung to move over 12.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.33 (This Bhakti Agung Propertindo probability density function shows the probability of Bhakti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bhakti Agung Propertindo price to stay between its current price of 10.00 and 12.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bhakti Agung Propertindo has a beta of -0.75 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bhakti Agung are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bhakti Agung Propertindo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bhakti Agung Propertindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bhakti Agung Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bhakti Agung
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bhakti Agung Propertindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bhakti Agung Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bhakti Agung is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bhakti Agung's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bhakti Agung Propertindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bhakti Agung within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Bhakti Agung Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bhakti Agung for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bhakti Agung Propertindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bhakti Agung generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bhakti Agung has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bhakti Agung has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. | |
| Bhakti Agung Propertindo has accumulated about 305.06 M in cash with (980.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bhakti Agung Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bhakti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bhakti Agung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bhakti Agung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 144.3 M |
Bhakti Agung Technical Analysis
Bhakti Agung's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bhakti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bhakti Agung Propertindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bhakti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bhakti Agung Predictive Forecast Models
Bhakti Agung's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bhakti Agung's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bhakti Agung's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bhakti Agung Propertindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bhakti Agung for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bhakti Agung Propertindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bhakti Agung generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bhakti Agung has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bhakti Agung has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. | |
| Bhakti Agung Propertindo has accumulated about 305.06 M in cash with (980.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bhakti Stock
Bhakti Agung financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bhakti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bhakti with respect to the benefits of owning Bhakti Agung security.