Barry Callebaut (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,344
| BARN Stock | CHF 1,346 1.00 0.07% |
Barry |
Barry Callebaut Target Price Odds to finish below 1,344
The tendency of Barry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,346 | 90 days | 1,346 | about 5.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barry Callebaut to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.91 (This Barry Callebaut AG probability density function shows the probability of Barry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Barry Callebaut has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Barry Callebaut average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barry Callebaut AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barry Callebaut AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Barry Callebaut Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Barry Callebaut
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barry Callebaut AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Barry Callebaut Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barry Callebaut is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barry Callebaut's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barry Callebaut AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barry Callebaut within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 83.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Barry Callebaut Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barry Callebaut for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barry Callebaut AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Barry Callebaut AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Barry Callebaut Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barry Callebaut's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barry Callebaut's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 897.3 M |
Barry Callebaut Technical Analysis
Barry Callebaut's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barry Callebaut AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Barry Callebaut Predictive Forecast Models
Barry Callebaut's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barry Callebaut's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barry Callebaut's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Barry Callebaut AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Barry Callebaut for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barry Callebaut AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Barry Callebaut AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Barry Stock Analysis
When running Barry Callebaut's price analysis, check to measure Barry Callebaut's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barry Callebaut is operating at the current time. Most of Barry Callebaut's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barry Callebaut's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barry Callebaut's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barry Callebaut to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.