Bata India (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,331
| BATAINDIA | 1,435 13.00 0.90% |
Bata |
Bata India Target Price Odds to finish below 1,331
The tendency of Bata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,435 | 90 days | 1,435 | about 81.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bata India to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 81.06 (This Bata India Limited probability density function shows the probability of Bata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bata India has a beta of 0.41 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bata India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bata India Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bata India Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bata India Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bata India
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bata India Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bata India Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bata India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bata India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bata India Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bata India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 47.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Bata India Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bata India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bata India Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bata India Share Price Highlights Bata India closed today at 1443.7, up 1.26 percent from yesterdays 1425.8 Stock Market News - Mint |
Bata India Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bata India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bata India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 B |
Bata India Technical Analysis
Bata India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bata India Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bata India Predictive Forecast Models
Bata India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bata India's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bata India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bata India Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bata India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bata India Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bata India Share Price Highlights Bata India closed today at 1443.7, up 1.26 percent from yesterdays 1425.8 Stock Market News - Mint |
Other Information on Investing in Bata Stock
Bata India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bata with respect to the benefits of owning Bata India security.