Bayrak EBT (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.31
| BAYRK Stock | TRY 17.69 0.42 2.43% |
Bayrak |
Bayrak EBT Target Price Odds to finish below 16.31
The tendency of Bayrak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.31 or more in 90 days |
| 17.69 | 90 days | 16.31 | about 15.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bayrak EBT to drop to 16.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.88 (This Bayrak EBT Taban probability density function shows the probability of Bayrak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bayrak EBT Taban price to stay between 16.31 and its current price of 17.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bayrak EBT Taban has a beta of -1.18 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Bayrak EBT Taban are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Bayrak EBT is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Bayrak EBT Taban has an alpha of 0.1371, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bayrak EBT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bayrak EBT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bayrak EBT Taban. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bayrak EBT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bayrak EBT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bayrak EBT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bayrak EBT Taban, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bayrak EBT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Bayrak EBT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bayrak EBT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bayrak EBT Taban can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bayrak EBT Taban generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bayrak EBT Taban has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bayrak EBT Taban has accumulated about 11.2 M in cash with (7.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bayrak EBT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bayrak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bayrak EBT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayrak EBT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 12.91M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 2.23M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 1.97M |
Bayrak EBT Technical Analysis
Bayrak EBT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bayrak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bayrak EBT Taban. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bayrak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bayrak EBT Predictive Forecast Models
Bayrak EBT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bayrak EBT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bayrak EBT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bayrak EBT Taban
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bayrak EBT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bayrak EBT Taban help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bayrak EBT Taban generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bayrak EBT Taban has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bayrak EBT Taban has accumulated about 11.2 M in cash with (7.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bayrak Stock
Bayrak EBT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bayrak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bayrak with respect to the benefits of owning Bayrak EBT security.