Socit BIC (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.56

BB Stock  EUR 63.00  0.60  0.96%   
Socit BIC's future price is the expected price of Socit BIC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Socit BIC SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Socit BIC Backtesting, Socit BIC Valuation, Socit BIC Correlation, Socit BIC Hype Analysis, Socit BIC Volatility, Socit BIC History as well as Socit BIC Performance.
  
Please specify Socit BIC's target price for which you would like Socit BIC odds to be computed.

Socit BIC Target Price Odds to finish below 60.56

The tendency of Socit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 60.56  or more in 90 days
 63.00 90 days 60.56 
about 30.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Socit BIC to drop to € 60.56  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.16 (This Socit BIC SA probability density function shows the probability of Socit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Socit BIC SA price to stay between € 60.56  and its current price of €63.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Socit BIC SA has a beta of -0.62 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Socit BIC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Socit BIC SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Socit BIC SA has an alpha of 0.1722, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Socit BIC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Socit BIC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Socit BIC SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.0663.0064.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.0653.0069.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.2863.2265.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.4463.6369.82
Details

Socit BIC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Socit BIC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Socit BIC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Socit BIC SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Socit BIC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
2.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.0077

Socit BIC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Socit BIC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Socit BIC SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Socit BIC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Socit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Socit BIC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Socit BIC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45 M
Cash And Short Term Investments468.9 M

Socit BIC Technical Analysis

Socit BIC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Socit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Socit BIC SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Socit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Socit BIC Predictive Forecast Models

Socit BIC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Socit BIC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Socit BIC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Socit BIC SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Socit BIC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Socit BIC SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Socit Stock

Socit BIC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Socit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Socit with respect to the benefits of owning Socit BIC security.