Jp Morgan Exchange Traded Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 51.69
| BBEM Etf | 52.52 0.08 0.15% |
BBEM |
JP Morgan Target Price Odds to finish over 51.69
The tendency of BBEM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 51.69 in 90 days |
| 52.52 | 90 days | 51.69 | about 91.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JP Morgan to stay above 51.69 in 90 days from now is about 91.24 (This JP Morgan Exchange Traded probability density function shows the probability of BBEM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JP Morgan Exchange price to stay between 51.69 and its current price of 52.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JP Morgan has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, JP Morgan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JP Morgan Exchange Traded will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JP Morgan Exchange Traded has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JP Morgan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JP Morgan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JP Morgan Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JP Morgan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JP Morgan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JP Morgan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JP Morgan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JP Morgan Exchange Traded, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JP Morgan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
JP Morgan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JP Morgan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JP Morgan Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JP Morgan Exchange generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: JPMorgan SmartRetirement Blend 2020 Fund BBEM Holdings History - GuruFocus.com |
JP Morgan Technical Analysis
JP Morgan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBEM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JP Morgan Exchange Traded. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBEM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JP Morgan Predictive Forecast Models
JP Morgan's time-series forecasting models is one of many JP Morgan's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JP Morgan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JP Morgan Exchange
Checking the ongoing alerts about JP Morgan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JP Morgan Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JP Morgan Exchange generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: JPMorgan SmartRetirement Blend 2020 Fund BBEM Holdings History - GuruFocus.com |
Check out JP Morgan Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JP Morgan Correlation, JP Morgan Hype Analysis, JP Morgan Volatility, JP Morgan History as well as JP Morgan Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
The market value of JP Morgan Exchange is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BBEM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JP Morgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JP Morgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JP Morgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JP Morgan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JP Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JP Morgan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JP Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.