Beasley Broadcast Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.14
| BBGI Stock | USD 9.25 1.15 14.20% |
Beasley |
Beasley Broadcast Target Price Odds to finish below 0.14
The tendency of Beasley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.14 or more in 90 days |
| 9.25 | 90 days | 0.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beasley Broadcast to drop to $ 0.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Beasley Broadcast Group probability density function shows the probability of Beasley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beasley Broadcast price to stay between $ 0.14 and its current price of $9.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Beasley Broadcast Group has a beta of -0.51 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Beasley Broadcast are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Beasley Broadcast Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Beasley Broadcast Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Beasley Broadcast Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Beasley Broadcast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beasley Broadcast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Beasley Broadcast Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beasley Broadcast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beasley Broadcast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beasley Broadcast Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beasley Broadcast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Beasley Broadcast Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beasley Broadcast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beasley Broadcast can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Beasley Broadcast generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Beasley Broadcast has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 247.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.14 M. | |
| Beasley Broadcast Group currently holds about 45.92 M in cash with (4.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.55. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Brian Beasley of tradable shares of Beasley Broadcast at 8.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Beasley Broadcast Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beasley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beasley Broadcast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beasley Broadcast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.7 M |
Beasley Broadcast Technical Analysis
Beasley Broadcast's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beasley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beasley Broadcast Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beasley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Beasley Broadcast Predictive Forecast Models
Beasley Broadcast's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beasley Broadcast's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beasley Broadcast's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Beasley Broadcast
Checking the ongoing alerts about Beasley Broadcast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beasley Broadcast help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Beasley Broadcast generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Beasley Broadcast has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 247.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.14 M. | |
| Beasley Broadcast Group currently holds about 45.92 M in cash with (4.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.55. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Brian Beasley of tradable shares of Beasley Broadcast at 8.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Beasley Broadcast Backtesting, Beasley Broadcast Valuation, Beasley Broadcast Correlation, Beasley Broadcast Hype Analysis, Beasley Broadcast Volatility, Beasley Broadcast History as well as Beasley Broadcast Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beasley Broadcast. If investors know Beasley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Beasley Broadcast listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Earnings Share 1.86 | Revenue Per Share 157.537 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.01 |
The market value of Beasley Broadcast is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Beasley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Beasley Broadcast's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Beasley Broadcast's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Beasley Broadcast's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Beasley Broadcast's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Beasley Broadcast's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beasley Broadcast is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beasley Broadcast's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.