Bank Bukopin (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.14
| BBKP Stock | IDR 55.00 1.00 1.79% |
Bank |
Bank Bukopin Target Price Odds to finish below 49.14
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 49.14 or more in 90 days |
| 55.00 | 90 days | 49.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Bukopin to drop to 49.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank Bukopin Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Bukopin Tbk price to stay between 49.14 and its current price of 55.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting Bank Bukopin Tbk market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bank Bukopin is expected to follow. Additionally Bank Bukopin Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank Bukopin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Bukopin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Bukopin Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Bukopin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Bukopin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Bukopin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Bukopin Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Bukopin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bank Bukopin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Bukopin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Bukopin Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Bukopin Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.05 T. Net Loss for the year was (2.28 T) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (407.88 B). | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bank Bukopin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Bukopin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Bukopin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67 B |
Bank Bukopin Technical Analysis
Bank Bukopin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Bukopin Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Bukopin Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Bukopin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Bukopin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Bukopin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Bukopin Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Bukopin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Bukopin Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Bukopin Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.05 T. Net Loss for the year was (2.28 T) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (407.88 B). | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Bukopin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Bukopin security.