Babylon Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.93

BBLNDelisted Stock  USD 0.03  0.03  45.45%   
Babylon Holdings' future price is the expected price of Babylon Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Babylon Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify Babylon Holdings' target price for which you would like Babylon Holdings odds to be computed.

Babylon Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 4.93

The tendency of Babylon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.93  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 4.93 
about 18.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Babylon Holdings to move over $ 4.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.06 (This Babylon Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Babylon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Babylon Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03  and $ 4.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Babylon Holdings has a beta of -1.17 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Babylon Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Babylon Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Babylon Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Babylon Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Babylon Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babylon Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.431.431.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.040.06
Details

Babylon Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Babylon Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Babylon Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Babylon Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Babylon Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-4.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.17
σ
Overall volatility
2.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Babylon Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Babylon Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Babylon Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Babylon Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Babylon Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Babylon Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.11 B. Net Loss for the year was (221.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (17.86 M).
Babylon Holdings currently holds about 110.23 M in cash with (311.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Babylon Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Babylon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Babylon Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babylon Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.5 M

Babylon Holdings Technical Analysis

Babylon Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Babylon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Babylon Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Babylon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Babylon Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Babylon Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Babylon Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Babylon Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Babylon Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Babylon Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Babylon Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Babylon Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Babylon Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Babylon Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.11 B. Net Loss for the year was (221.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (17.86 M).
Babylon Holdings currently holds about 110.23 M in cash with (311.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Other Consideration for investing in Babylon Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Babylon Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Babylon Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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